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Economics of Newspapers

March 10th, 2010

Very interesting article written by Hal Varian, Google’s Chief Economist regarding the economics of newspapers. He mentions that online advertising represents only 5% of newspaper ad revenue due to people only spending a limited amount of time reading via the browser - 70 seconds per day. Traditional readers, those reading the print format, typically spend about 25 minutes per day drives the bulk of advertising dollars.

Hal Varian says newspapers need to “experiment, experiment, experiment” with the new platforms and online in order to try and stop the decline that has been going on since 1985.

You can read the full article on Google’s Public Policy Blog

advertising, google, newspaper

WSJ grows, all other newspapers decline

October 30th, 2009

The Audit Bureau of Circulations released daily newspaper circulation numbers for the top 25 newspaper companies. Only WSJ circulation numbers grew a modest 0.6%.

I wonder where the concentration of their 2M subs are located and what the demo is.

You can read the full report here

newspaper

Newspaper Circulation Continues to Decline

May 5th, 2008
Comments Off

Wall Street Journal Reports that Newspaper circulation is falling faster than ever:

Newspaper Circulation

Most of the nation’s biggest newspapers saw circulation tumble at an increased rate, a sign that the migration of readers online may be picking up speed.

The Audit Bureau of Circulations reported Monday that average weekday circulation at 534 daily newspapers fell 3.6% for the six months ended March 31, compared with the year-earlier period. The rate of decline is accelerating: ABC had reported an average weekday circulation drop of 2.1% in the year-earlier period and 2.6% in the six months to November.

Sunday circulation fell even more, losing 4.6% on average.

Newspapers need to take advantage of what is working for them - online distribution. This not only means experimenting with podcasts, video, ad formats, etc but also means experimenting with different forms of distribution. They need to try and find ways to improve the consumer experience with online distribution. Right now everything is just flat text and every story has the same format - kinda boring if you ask me.

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AudioDizer, Wall Street Journal, newspaper

Wall Street Journal: Traditional Media Expected to see Decline in Ad Revenue

June 13th, 2007

Ad Notes
Traditional Media Expected
To See Decline in Ad Revenue
June 13, 2007; Page B3

Radio and newspapers are expected to see declines in ad revenue this year, while network, cable TV and most magazines will see growth.

With marketers expected to continue shifting ad dollars out of traditional media and into digital alternatives, certain categories of old media will be badly hit this year, according to TNS Media Intelligence, which tracks ad spending in different media. Ad spending on newspapers is expected to fall 2.9%, on top of a 2.4% decline in 2006, while radio and business-to-business magazines are also expected to fall.

Television is a mixed picture. Spending on spot TV — ads bought on local TV stations as opposed to national networks — is expected to fall 5.5%. But network TV spending is projected to be up 1.3%, while spending on cable is seen as rising 5.9%.

Still, the fastest growth continues to be in digital. Spending on Internet display advertising is expected to account for the biggest gain in the market, growing 16% this year.

TNS doesn’t track spending on several other major forms of digital advertising, including search and “rich media” such as video, which are getting increased attention from advertisers.

AudioDizer, Wall Street Journal, advertising, newspaper, revenue

Wall Street Journal: How to Sink a Newspaper

May 8th, 2007

This article describes how the online strategy has failed for newspapers and what one paper in Arkanasas is doing to embrace the technology to make it work for them.

By WALTER E. HUSSMAN JR.

May 7, 2007; Page A15

One has to wonder how many of the newspaper industry’s current problems are self-inflicted. Take free news. News has become ubiquitous, free, and as a result, a commodity. Anytime you are trying to sell something that becomes a commodity, you have lost much of the value in providing that product or service.

Not many years ago if someone wanted to find out what was in the newspaper they had to buy one. But not anymore. Now you can just go to the newspaper’s Web site and get that same information for free.

The newspaper industry wonders why it is losing young readers. Those readers might be young, but many of them are smart, not to mention computer-savvy. Why would they buy a newspaper when they can get the same information online for free?

Newspapers initially created their Web sites with the best of intentions. After all, newspapers are in the information business. And rather than fight the new medium, the Internet, why not embrace it? Wanting to be the leading information providers and thereby have the most popular Web site in the community, they posted all of their news online for free.

Exacerbating the problem with free news was the decision by the newspaper industry, which owns the Associated Press, to sell AP copy to news aggregators like Yahoo, Google and MSN. These aggregators created lucrative news portals where the world could get much of the news that was in newspapers. So readers could now get free news not only on newspaper Web sites, but also from portals and aggregators that had a chance to monetize the content, most of which was created and financed by the newspaper industry.

With local radio and television stations also creating Web sites and posting their news for free, newspapers soon realized that much of the news on the broadcast Web sites had been created by the local newspaper. So, whereas before the newspapers were selling print ads while radio and TV were selling air time, now they were all selling the same medium: their Web sites. Since newspapers share their content with the Associated Press so other members can use it, radio and TV members are using much of that content to compete against the newspapers that created it.

Newspapers have for years been frustrated by radio stations which merely read the stories which are printed in that morning’s edition. TV stations often get much of their news from the newspapers, too. But reading it on the air is clearly different from posting it online, placing them in direct competition with newspapers’ Web sites.

All of this would be fine if newspapers generated lots of additional revenues from offering free news. But the fact is newspapers generate most of their online revenues from classified advertising, not from news. Gordon Borrell, CEO of Borrell Associates, estimated that newspaper Web sites generated 78% of their revenues from classifieds in 2006.

It turns out that a Web site is a very different medium from a newspaper. While consumers often find pop-up ads a distraction and banner ads as more clutter, readers often seek out the advertising in newspapers.

The Inland Cost and Revenue Study shows that newspapers will generate between $500 and $900 in revenue per subscriber per year. But a newspaper’s Web site typically generates $5 to $10 per unique visitor per year. It may be that newspaper Web sites as an advertising medium, and free news, just can’t generate the revenue to sustain a valued news operation.

In fact, online revenues for the publicly traded newspaper companies in 2005 varied from 1.7% at Journal Register Co. to 5.7% at Belo Corp. The only company higher was the Washington Post Co. at 8.4%. Yet newspapers typically spend 12% or more of their revenues on their news and editorial operations.

The Wall Street Journal Online now has 931,000 paying subscribers, more than the paying subscribers to all but three U.S. newspapers: USA Today, The Wall Street Journal and the New York Times. Our newspaper, the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette in Little Rock, does not offer our news for free on the Web site. We offer free headlines. On a few selected stories, we offer a few free paragraphs, designed to get people to read our paper. We also offer free classifieds.

Recently I had the opportunity to compare our Web site policy with the free news policies of other papers. For the six months ending March 31, 2007, the newspaper industry’s circulation was down 2.1% daily and 3.1% Sunday. By contrast, the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette’s circulation was up 1.24% daily and up less than 1% Sunday.

I was able to make another interesting comparison, too, with the Columbus, Ohio, Dispatch. Columbus and Little Rock are both state capitals. Columbus is a larger market, and the Columbus Dispatch’s circulation of 217,291 compares with 176,172 for the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Up until Jan. 1, 2006, both our paper and the Columbus Dispatch offered news content only by subscription. We even charged the same price, $4.95, for an online monthly subscription, and both of us offered the same style electronic editions.

But Columbus dropped its subscription model on Jan. 1, 2006, and began offering most of its news for free. Its Web traffic and revenues certainly increased. But what happened to its paid circulation?

The six months ending Sept. 30, 2006 was a good comparison, since it compared six months in 2006 when the Columbus Dispatch had free news on its Web site compared with six months in 2005 when it did not offer free news. The Columbus Dispatch’s daily circulation was down 5.8% while Sunday was down 1.1% for the six-month period. This compared with our loss of less than 0.4% daily and 1% Sunday.

When I looked at this comparison with Columbus, as well as the newspaper industry’s larger losses, it didn’t encourage me to change our Web policy to free news.

So what are we doing with our Web site? We have hired a videographer to complement our text coverage in the newspaper. We have added photo galleries to increase the number of photographs beyond what we can publish. We offer an electronic edition where you can search the entire edition by keywords, something you can’t do in the print edition. And we offer breaking news email alerts, something else you can’t do in print. In other words, we are offering value on our Web site that complements, rather than cannibalizes, our print edition.

Collectively, the American newspaper industry spends $7 billion on news and editorial operations. This includes everything from copy editor salaries to sports travel expenses. In addition, the Associated Press spent about $600 million world-wide in editing and creating news. By offering this news for free, and selling it to aggregators like Google, Yahoo and MSN for a small fraction of what it costs to create it, newspaper readership and circulation have declined.

These declines are accelerating. In 2004 and prior years, industry circulation declines were usually less than 1%. Since March 2005, these declines have been 2%-3% per year. With declining readership comes declining ad revenues, which are followed by layoffs.

The newsroom layoffs are most troubling, as less news with less quality, context and details results in more declines in readership and later, declines in advertising. If the $7 billion spent covering news becomes $6 billion, and later $5 billion, it is not just the newspaper industry that gets hurt. Journalism will be diminished in America with less investigative and enterprise reporting; indeed, less reporting of state houses, city halls, school boards, business and sports. Clearly a lot is at stake.

It is time for newspapers to reconsider the ultimate costs and consequences of free news.

Mr. Hussman is publisher of the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette.

Wall Street Journal, newspaper

WallStreet Journal Reports Newspaper Circulation Results

April 30th, 2007

Circulation results for the top 20 newspapers were reported by the Audit Bureau of Circulations. Overall circulation numbers fell 2.1% in the latest 6 month report. Sorry about the formating of the data…

Newspaper, Daily Circulation, Percent Change in Last 6 months

1. USA Today, 2,278,022, +0.2%
2. The Wall Street Journal, 2,062,312, +0.6%
3. The New York Times, 1,120,420, -1.9%
4. Los Angeles Times, 815,723, -4.2%
5. New York Post, 724,748, +7.6%
6. New York Daily News, 718,174, +1.4%
7. The Washington Post, 699,130, -3.5%
8. Chicago Tribune, 566,827, -2.1%
9. Houston Chronicle, 503,114, -2%
10. The Arizona Republic, 433,731, -1.1%
11. Dallas Morning News, 411,919, -14.3%
12. Newsday, Long Island, 398,231, -6.9%
13. San Francisco Chronicle, 386,564, -2.9%
14. The Boston Globe, 382,503, -3.7%
15. The Star-Ledger of Newark, N.J., 372,629, -6.1%
16. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 357,399, -2.1%
17. The Philadelphia Inquirer, 352,593, +0.6%
18. Star Tribune of Minneapolis-St. Paul, 345,252, -4.9%
19. The Plain Dealer, Cleveland, 344,704, +0.5%
20. Detroit Free Press, 329,989, -4.7%

You can read the full article on The Wall Street Journal here

AudioDizer, Wall Street Journal, newspaper

Wall Street Journal: Papers’ Web Hopes Dim a Bit

April 25th, 2007

This article creates more support for services like AudioDizer…

Ad Growth Online Slows as Sources For News Burgeon

By SARAH ELLISON and SUZANNE VRANICA
April 23, 2007; Page B8

Even with all the grim news the newspaper industry has faced in recent years, publishers have consoled themselves that they have a lifeline. If they could switch content away from print and onto the Internet — bringing advertisers with them — they could save their businesses.

Last week, that lifeline began looking frayed. New York Times Co. warned Thursday that online advertising growth this year won’t be as strong as the 30% it had projected. On the same day, Tribune Co. reported that the growth rate for first-quarter interactive revenue was sharply lower than a year earlier. Gannett Co. likewise said online revenue growth slowed in the first quarter from a year earlier.

Several other major U.S. newspaper companies have yet to report for the first quarter, including McClatchy Co. and Washington Post Co., although on Friday the chief executive of Washington Post’s online arm, Caroline Little, said growth was “slowing slightly across the board but is still very healthy.”

Dow Jones & Co., publisher of The Wall Street Journal, reported 30% growth in online ad revenue in the first quarter, up from 26% a year earlier. Dow Jones’s business model is different from that of other publishers, however, because much of the Journal’s Web site is subscription-only, which reduces the amount of traffic but allows the Journal to charge higher advertising rates, because paying customers are thought to be more committed.

Analysts agree that the results at the Times and Tribune reflect a broader trend. “We absolutely see slower growth coming,” says Kip Cassino, vice president of research at Borrell Associates, a media-research firm. “Generally, newspapers tend to believe things that have been good are going to get better. And that’s not always the case.” Borrell says the growth rate in online ad spending in newspapers will likely fall to a percentage in the low 20s this year from 28% last year.

To be sure, that may reflect a broader deceleration in the growth of Web advertising. EMarketer, a market-research firm, predicts the overall growth of U.S. online-ad revenue will slow to 18.9% this year from 30.8% last year. It predicts newspapers will do slightly better.

But last week’s news came as the number of online news outlets proliferates. Rival media such as TV stations and magazines have beefed up their presence, adding to threats posed by Web giants such as Google and Yahoo and popular sites such as CNN.com. Even the social-networking site MySpace has added a news feature and is boosting its ad-sales efforts.

Media buyers also indicate marketers are beginning to look beyond traditional journalism sites, realizing many news junkies go elsewhere, too. “Advertisers are getting less scared of blogs and newsgroups and now are beginning to take money away from the traditional newspapers’ sites,” says Greg Smith, chief operating officer of Neo@Ogilvy, an interactive ad agency owned by WPP Group’s Ogilvy & Mather, New York.

One major issue for many newspapers online: Roughly 70% to 80% of their online revenue is tied to a classified ad sold in the print edition — known as an “upsell,” says Paul Ginocchio, a newspaper analyst at Deutsche Bank. And as newspapers see a sharp erosion in classified advertising for real estate and jobs, their Web sites are being hit as well.

Analysts say papers need to find new categories of advertisers. “Newspapers need to move beyond the traditional classified sources they’ve relied upon,” says Borrell’s Mr. Cassino.

Underlining this pressure is a shift under way within Internet advertising. The ad formats that have so far proved strongest for newspapers — banner ads, pop-ups and listings — are losing ground to formats such as search marketing. Ad buyers say automotive, entertainment, financial-services and travel companies — all major newspaper advertisers in print and online — are aggressively shifting dollars into search marketing.

“There is a dramatic shift going on,” says Eric Bader, senior vice president, director of digital connections at Publicis Groupe’s MediaVest. Marketers like search advertising because it leads customers to exactly what they are looking for, and is easy to measure, he says.

The problem for newspapers is that the benefits of search fall disproportionately to the Googles and Yahoos of the world. Newspaper companies are increasingly looking for deals with such portals, and 13 publishers, including McClatchy, MediaNews Group and Hearst, recently signed a comprehensive deal with Yahoo that will require the newspapers to use Yahoo search on their Web sites.

Yahoo and the newspapers would sell ads on each other’s sites, and the revenue would be shared. Content from the papers would be featured on Yahoo’s channels. But some newspaper executives worry that the deal takes too much power away from the newspapers.

Still, the biggest opportunity may simply be for newspapers and other Web properties to persuade more advertisers to put more money onto the Internet. A survey of 273 U.S. advertisers last year found that 67% of the companies with annual revenue of $500 million or more will dedicate less than $1 million to online ads, according to JupiterResearch.

Write to Sarah Ellison at sarah.ellison@wsj.com and Suzanne Vranica at suzanne.vranica@wsj.com

AudioDizer, Wall Street Journal, newspaper

Wall Street Journal’s Ad Revenue Falls 10%

March 13th, 2007

There was an article in the Wall Street Journal published on March 8 discussing the Dow Jones & Co’s Wall Street Journal’s decline in ad revenue.

The decline was due to a dropoff in revenue from technology, financial, general and classified advertising categories. Though dollar amounts weren’t provided - they were definitely hit across the board.

I wonder what happened to the rest of the industry. More reason to use AudioDizer!

AudioDizer, Wall Street Journal, newspaper

Patrick Purcell - Boston Herald Publisher at MIT Sloan

March 8th, 2007

Patrick Purcell, Publisher of the Boston Herald, came to MIT Sloan last week to discuss the dynamics of the newspaper industry. Some of the interesting things that were discussed were:

  • Today, on average, traditional newspapers lose between 1 percent and 3 percent in circulation each year.
  • Consumers forced the Herald from having a subscription online service to a freely available service in the 90s.

These are some of the reasons why we created AudioDizer. We want people to be able to get the content in the format they prefer.

You can find the full story of the Pat Purcell visit on the New@Sloan March 5th edition.

AudioDizer, Pat Purcell, newspaper

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